Late April is really the dog days of sports betting. Football season has long been over – sorry XFL – and it doesn’t start back up for months. March Madness has become a fading memory and the NBA playoffs have started but they’re only playing just like a game a week. So, what’s a sports bettor to accomplish in this sparse time? Luckily, there is a good betting event that arises the final weekend of April that real bettors know and want to wager on.
The 2022 NFL Draft took place between, April 28 and Sunday, April 30, 2023. Many people probably don’t think about the draft as a big-time gambling event, ทีเด็ดมวย but it’s grown as a betting opportunity in recent years. With the rise of online gambling of all sorts, from online casinos to sportsbooks, events like the NFL Draft have gone from hardcore football nerd fare to gambler’s dream weekend. Listed here is all you need to understand in regards to the ins and outs of betting on the NFL Draft.
No Drama in the #1 Pick
Several years there’s a disagreement at the the top of draft board over who goes number 1 overall and this is always an enjoyable spot to bet. The years when there is two viable the top of draft choices are always the best whether it’s Peyton Manning vs Ryan Leaf or perhaps a more recent example like Jared Goff vs Carson Wentz.
In 2020, you will see no such drama unless something truly crazy and unexpected happens. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow may be the odds-on favorite to be the amount 1 overall pick whether it’s by the Cincinnati Bengals or another person who trades up for it. Burrow’s odds are at -2200 to function as pick and the following closest player is Chase Young, the Ohio State defensive end at +1200. The moral of the story here is to steer clear of betting at the top pick this year.
Betting on Picks 2 -5
In 2010, the smart money and the action in terms of betting on where people will go will be on picks 2 through 5. The Redskins at pick number two are a little bit of an exception but picks 3 through 5 for sure will be fun to wager on.
At pick 2, conventional wisdom says that they can choose Young but if you know anything in regards to the Redskins, they’re anything but predictable. Following a NFL Draft combine, there were whispers that the Skins usually takes injured Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with the next pick. While this still seems unlikely, there is also a trade up for the banged-up signal-caller so betting on Tagovailoa at 2 could make you some money.
As for 3 to 5, this may probably be some combination of Tagovailoa, Clemson’s Isaiah Simmons, and Ohio State’s Jeff Okudah. Determining which order these 3 players will leave the green room in should win you a good chunk of change to really get your 2020 Draft betting off to a great start. You can bet on these results in the form of over/ under draft position or via the amount of money line if you were to think you are able to hit it exactly.
The Third Quarterback Off the Board
As discussed above, Burrow and Tagovailoa are virtually mortal locks to be the initial 2 quarterbacks on stage in April. Where in fact the first-round quarterback situation starts to get interesting has been the question, who will be the third QB to hear their name called? This debate is really heated right since ESPN’s two draft experts, Mel Kiper, Jr. and Todd McShay actually made a $5,000 bet (for charity) on this question with their own money.
Kiper, the initial NFL draft expert still going strong, loves Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert and his size and arm strength. McShay, on another hand, is more of a lover of Utah State’s Jordan love and his smooth athleticism. You don’t need to plunk down 5K but letting only a little money ride with whichever ESPN draftnik you want best is a large amount of fun.
Positional Over/ Unders
Another smart way to bet on the draft is to take the over/ under on a positional group in the initial round. This will likely keep your bet alive all the way until late in the round and if you put together or follow a great mock draft, it could make you the right money.
As with many odds, the oddsmakers in Las Vegas are very good at putting together lines and over/ unders. Those huge, lavish casinos in the desert didn’t build themselves. Nevertheless, there’s some value if you can identify the most or least in-demand position groups before the draft. In 2019, it was a really defensive heavy year with lots of talent coming from that side of the ball. Because of this, OL, TE, WR, and QB all went under and RBs pushed at 1.
In 2020, the opposite does work and there is of offensive talent that teams covet available early in the draft. There should be 4 quarterbacks taken in the utmost effective 15 picks and it could be not surprising if a 5th or possibly a 6th came off the board by the end of the 1st. There should also be a significant run on offensive lineman in round 1.
The big winners of the initial round though will be wide receivers. In 2010 is a historic wide receiver class and they may see 5 or 6 of their fellow pass catchers all ensure it is to the first. If you discover a line that has OL, QB, or WR at 5 or under, take it for sure you will probably be safe taking around 6 on these three positions.
Conclusion
Don’t allow NFL offseason enable you to get down as a gambler. There are many of great futures to bet on and, obviously, the NFL Draft. Betting on the draft is a good way spend a week-end and one last tip, make sure you put a coin flip wager on whether the final pick, Mr. Irrelevant, will be an offensive or defensive player. Which will stop you invested to the bitter end.